Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.046663 0.050737 0.054860 0.059340 0.064062 0.068886 0.074178
2025-07-06 0.041481 0.047553 0.053913 0.061044 0.068792 0.076929 0.086096
2025-07-13 0.036036 0.043393 0.051342 0.060510 0.070733 0.081726 0.094383
2025-07-20 0.032125 0.040457 0.049714 0.060658 0.073135 0.086819 0.102859
2025-07-27 0.029393 0.038547 0.048975 0.061569 0.076203 0.092519 0.111929
2025-08-03 0.027427 0.037316 0.048836 0.063014 0.079762 0.098698 0.121505
2025-08-10 0.023888 0.033906 0.045878 0.060923 0.079019 0.099789 0.125137
2025-08-17 0.021586 0.031835 0.044364 0.060403 0.079993 0.102769 0.130873
2025-08-24 0.019538 0.029928 0.042913 0.059831 0.080798 0.105468 0.136222
2025-08-31 0.018733 0.029568 0.043347 0.061545 0.084349 0.111423 0.145431
2025-09-07 0.017769 0.028919 0.043350 0.062668 0.087143 0.116458 0.153551
2025-09-14 0.016727 0.028087 0.043053 0.063361 0.089368 0.120785 0.160823
2025-09-21 0.015481 0.026922 0.042294 0.063462 0.090888 0.124324 0.167258
2025-09-28 0.014976 0.026778 0.042884 0.065317 0.094641 0.130642 0.177134
2025-10-05 0.013677 0.025393 0.041715 0.064792 0.095312 0.133119 0.182303
2025-10-12 0.012721 0.024450 0.041101 0.064964 0.096849 0.136661 0.188785
2025-10-19 0.012095 0.023965 0.041094 0.065927 0.099400 0.141473 0.196852
2025-10-26 0.011684 0.023785 0.041501 0.067445 0.102680 0.147221 0.206117
2025-11-02 0.010235 0.021849 0.039282 0.065257 0.100985 0.146583 0.207337
2025-11-09 0.009359 0.020779 0.038278 0.064713 0.101443 0.148673 0.211976
2025-11-16 0.008538 0.019741 0.037268 0.064113 0.101789 0.150595 0.216389
2025-11-23 0.008363 0.019806 0.037929 0.065910 0.105405 0.156783 0.226272
2025-11-30 0.008051 0.019607 0.038167 0.067087 0.108174 0.161876 0.234778